AI's Impact on Cybersecurity

The rapid advancement of generative AI is reshaping the cybersecurity industry. As AI capabilities grow exponentially, we're witnessing a swift evolution in how both defensive and offensive cybersecurity operations function. This transformation is not only changing the nature of cyber threats and defences but also significantly impacting the cybersecurity workforce.

AI in Defensive Cybersecurity

In the realm of defensive cybersecurity, AI is revolutionising how Security Operations Centres (SOCs) function, particularly in alert triage and investigation. Currently, SOC analysts face the repetitive task of sifting through countless alerts, many of which turn out to be false positives. This labour-intensive process has long been a bottleneck in effective threat response. However, the emergence of AI-powered services claiming to automate initial alert investigations is changing the game.

Traditionally, level-1 SOC analysts have been responsible for the initial triage, following established playbooks to investigate alerts and escalate when necessary. This repetitive work, while crucial, is ripe for automation. As AI systems become more sophisticated, it's increasingly likely that much of this level-1 work will be fully automated in the near future, with AI systems capable of escalating complex alerts to experienced human analysts when required.

AI in Offensive Cybersecurity

On the offensive side, AI is already making significant waves in how penetration testing and vulnerability assessments are conducted. AI-powered tools are automating many aspects of basic penetration testing. These sophisticated systems can efficiently scan for running services and exploit known vulnerabilities, tasks that previously required significant human intervention. Moreover, these AI tools are adept at examining websites and identifying a wide range of vulnerabilities, including those listed in the OWASP Top 10 – a critical benchmark in web application security.

Even in scenarios where AI tools can't autonomously exploit applications, they're proving to be invaluable assistants to human penetration testers. This AI augmentation is a game-changer, potentially elevating a novice penetration tester to perform at the level of someone with years of experience. For seasoned professionals, AI acts as a capability multiplier, enabling them to uncover more complex vulnerabilities and delve deeper into system weaknesses.

The AI Arms Race in Cybersecurity

The rapid growth in AI capabilities is evident in both defensive and offensive security domains. While major AI model creators are implementing safeguards to limit their systems' ability to assist with cybersecurity exploitation, numerous other models exist without such restrictions. This proliferation of unrestricted AI tools raises significant concerns about their potential misuse by malicious actors.

The same AI-powered tools that enhance the capabilities of ethical penetration testers and defensive analysts could equally empower cyber criminals. This dual-use nature of AI in cybersecurity is leading towards what appears to be an AI driven arms race. On one side, AI will be leveraged to bolster system defences, automate alert triage, and uncover vulnerabilities for patching. On the other, it will be weaponized to launch more sophisticated attacks that are harder to detect and remediate.

Impact on the Cybersecurity Workforce

While this automation of cyber defence promises increased efficiency and potentially improved threat response times, it also raises concerns about the future of the cybersecurity workforce, particularly entry-level roles. As AI takes over many tasks traditionally performed by junior analysts and penetration testers, we may see a significant reduction in entry-level positions, which have long served as a crucial stepping stone for aspiring cybersecurity professionals.

This shift could potentially exacerbate the existing cybersecurity skills gap. With fewer entry-level positions available, it may become increasingly challenging for interested individuals to gain the hands-on experience necessary to progress in the field. This bottleneck could lead to a shortage of mid-level and senior professionals in the long term, as the traditional career pipeline is disrupted.

However, it's important to note that as AI brings new efficiencies to cybersecurity, it also introduces new threats and challenges. The cybersecurity landscape is evolving rapidly, with AI-powered attacks becoming more sophisticated and prevalent. This evolution will inevitably create new roles and specialisations within the field, potentially offsetting some of the job losses in existing areas.

The Future of Cybersecurity

As we stand on the brink of this new era in cybersecurity, it's clear that AI will play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the field. The exact shape of the cybersecurity workforce remains uncertain. While AI will undoubtedly automate many current tasks, it will also create new opportunities and challenges that require human expertise.

While AI tools are making certain aspects of cybersecurity more accessible, they're also raising the bar for what constitutes advanced skills in both defensive and offensive security. Professionals in this field will need to adapt quickly, learning to work alongside AI tools effectively while also staying ahead of AI threats.

The key for professionals and students in this field will be to stay adaptable, continuously learning and evolving their skills to remain relevant in this AI augmented landscape. Embracing these new tools responsibly, using them to enhance our defensive capabilities while also preparing for the inevitable rise in AI assisted cyber attacks, will be crucial for the future of cybersecurity.

Disclaimer: While I developed the ideas and topics of this post, I used Claude AI (Sonnet 3.5) as a tool to help format and structure it for clarity and coherence.

By @nicholasspencer@infosec.exchange My LinkedIn